Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and possible morning showers, aligning with the climatological average low of 13°C for the date. Model consensus supports this range while noting typical uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates influenced by cloud cover and dew point depression. Trader sentiment remains evenly distributed across 12°C, 13°C, and the sub-8°C tail because minor forecast revisions—such as increased overnight cloudiness or wind shifts—could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on precise observations from Munich stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 57%
12°C 30%
13°C 29%
14°C 25%
8°C or below
57%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
25%
12°C
30%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
1%
8°C or below 57%
12°C 30%
13°C 29%
14°C 25%
8°C or below
57%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
25%
12°C
30%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
15%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on August 26 likely near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and possible morning showers, aligning with the climatological average low of 13°C for the date. Model consensus supports this range while noting typical uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates influenced by cloud cover and dew point depression. Trader sentiment remains evenly distributed across 12°C, 13°C, and the sub-8°C tail because minor forecast revisions—such as increased overnight cloudiness or wind shifts—could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on precise observations from Munich stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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