Recent forecasts for Munich on August 26 point to a modest rebound after showers and cooler conditions on the 25th, with model outputs clustering around peak temperatures of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly or variable winds. Morning showers or residual cloud cover are expected to limit early insolation, while building high pressure and reduced precipitation chances in the afternoon could allow greater surface heating, though scattered storms remain possible. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models highlight sensitivity to exact timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 26°C and 27°C as the closest outcomes at 34.5% and 31.0% implied probability. Traders weigh these meteorological variables against climatological August averages near 23–24°C, recognizing that small shifts in diurnal temperature range or advection could tip resolution between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
26°C 35%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
35%
27°C
31%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
35%
27°C
31%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Munich on August 26 point to a modest rebound after showers and cooler conditions on the 25th, with model outputs clustering around peak temperatures of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly or variable winds. Morning showers or residual cloud cover are expected to limit early insolation, while building high pressure and reduced precipitation chances in the afternoon could allow greater surface heating, though scattered storms remain possible. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models highlight sensitivity to exact timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 26°C and 27°C as the closest outcomes at 34.5% and 31.0% implied probability. Traders weigh these meteorological variables against climatological August averages near 23–24°C, recognizing that small shifts in diurnal temperature range or advection could tip resolution between the leading bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions