Official observations from the NOAA-linked Masroor Airbase station in Karachi recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 24, 2026, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department had narrowed expectations to the 31–34°C band amid typical late-monsoon conditions—moderate humidity, southwest winds, and limited cloud cover—producing tight trading around 32–33°C. Historical August averages near 32°C and the absence of extreme heat anomalies further supported this clustering. Revisions to the station data remain possible only until the first datapoint for August 25 is published; any post-deadline adjustments or station instrumentation issues represent the main, low-probability scenarios that could theoretically alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
33°C 100.0%
$15,704 Vol.
$15,704 Vol.
33°C
100%
33°C 100.0%
$15,704 Vol.
$15,704 Vol.
33°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the NOAA-linked Masroor Airbase station in Karachi recorded a daily maximum of 33°C on August 24, 2026, locking in the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department had narrowed expectations to the 31–34°C band amid typical late-monsoon conditions—moderate humidity, southwest winds, and limited cloud cover—producing tight trading around 32–33°C. Historical August averages near 32°C and the absence of extreme heat anomalies further supported this clustering. Revisions to the station data remain possible only until the first datapoint for August 25 is published; any post-deadline adjustments or station instrumentation issues represent the main, low-probability scenarios that could theoretically alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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