**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) establish 26°C as the expected minimum for Taipei on August 24, 2026.** Daytime highs are projected at 26–30°C under cloudy skies with brief showers or thunderstorms, while overnight lows settle at 26–28°C amid continued cloud cover and scattered rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further in a humid subtropical climate where overnight minima typically hover near 26°C during late-summer monsoon-influenced periods. Multiple model runs and historical analogs for late August reinforce this range, with recent days showing similar 26–28°C floors under comparable moisture and cloud patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C as the lowest temperature reflects this strong alignment between official guidance, ensemble forecasts, and climatological baselines, leaving little room for deviation on resolution day. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt clearing of clouds or a sharp drop in humidity that enhances overnight cooling—conditions not supported by current model consensus or the active rain pattern. Minor station-specific variations or measurement timing could theoretically produce a 25°C reading, but such outcomes remain low-probability given the uniform forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
$15,747 Vol.
$15,747 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
$15,747 Vol.
$15,747 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C
$729 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$229 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) establish 26°C as the expected minimum for Taipei on August 24, 2026.** Daytime highs are projected at 26–30°C under cloudy skies with brief showers or thunderstorms, while overnight lows settle at 26–28°C amid continued cloud cover and scattered rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further in a humid subtropical climate where overnight minima typically hover near 26°C during late-summer monsoon-influenced periods.
Multiple model runs and historical analogs for late August reinforce this range, with recent days showing similar 26–28°C floors under comparable moisture and cloud patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C as the lowest temperature reflects this strong alignment between official guidance, ensemble forecasts, and climatological baselines, leaving little room for deviation on resolution day.
A realistic challenge would require an abrupt clearing of clouds or a sharp drop in humidity that enhances overnight cooling—conditions not supported by current model consensus or the active rain pattern. Minor station-specific variations or measurement timing could theoretically produce a 25°C reading, but such outcomes remain low-probability given the uniform forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$15,747End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) establish 26°C as the expected minimum for Taipei on August 24, 2026.** Daytime highs are projected at 26–30°C under cloudy skies with brief showers or thunderstorms, while overnight lows settle at 26–28°C amid continued cloud cover and scattered rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further in a humid subtropical climate where overnight minima typically hover near 26°C during late-summer monsoon-influenced periods.
Multiple model runs and historical analogs for late August reinforce this range, with recent days showing similar 26–28°C floors under comparable moisture and cloud patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C as the lowest temperature reflects this strong alignment between official guidance, ensemble forecasts, and climatological baselines, leaving little room for deviation on resolution day.
A realistic challenge would require an abrupt clearing of clouds or a sharp drop in humidity that enhances overnight cooling—conditions not supported by current model consensus or the active rain pattern. Minor station-specific variations or measurement timing could theoretically produce a 25°C reading, but such outcomes remain low-probability given the uniform forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,747End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration (CWA) establish 26°C as the expected minimum for Taipei on August 24, 2026.** Daytime highs are projected at 26–30°C under cloudy skies with brief showers or thunderstorms, while overnight lows settle at 26–28°C amid continued cloud cover and scattered rain. These conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping further in a humid subtropical climate where overnight minima typically hover near 26°C during late-summer monsoon-influenced periods. Multiple model runs and historical analogs for late August reinforce this range, with recent days showing similar 26–28°C floors under comparable moisture and cloud patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% for 26°C as the lowest temperature reflects this strong alignment between official guidance, ensemble forecasts, and climatological baselines, leaving little room for deviation on resolution day. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt clearing of clouds or a sharp drop in humidity that enhances overnight cooling—conditions not supported by current model consensus or the active rain pattern. Minor station-specific variations or measurement timing could theoretically produce a 25°C reading, but such outcomes remain low-probability given the uniform forecast envelope.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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