**Cooler-than-average overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers positioned 14°C as the dominant outcome.** Environment Canada forecasts and observational data from Toronto Pearson International Airport indicated a minimum near 14°C (about 57°F) on August 24, 2026, aligning with model consensus that limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and light precipitation. This matches the market's 74.5% implied probability for 14°C, while lower values (13°C or below) received minimal support due to the absence of clear, dry conditions that historically enable sharper drops. Late-August climatology shows an average low of 17.1°C, but recent frontal activity and above-normal precipitation suppressed temperatures without pushing them into the single digits. Official verification from agencies like Environment and Climate Change Canada will determine final resolution, with traders weighting real-time station readings over longer-range uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
14°C 99%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
13°C 1.6%
$3,333 Vol.
$3,333 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
13°C 1.6%
$3,333 Vol.
$3,333 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$436 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$61 Vol.
2%
11°C
$362 Vol.
1%
12°C
$80 Vol.
2%
13°C
$322 Vol.
2%
14°C
$450 Vol.
99%
15°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$544 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers positioned 14°C as the dominant outcome.** Environment Canada forecasts and observational data from Toronto Pearson International Airport indicated a minimum near 14°C (about 57°F) on August 24, 2026, aligning with model consensus that limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and light precipitation. This matches the market's 74.5% implied probability for 14°C, while lower values (13°C or below) received minimal support due to the absence of clear, dry conditions that historically enable sharper drops. Late-August climatology shows an average low of 17.1°C, but recent frontal activity and above-normal precipitation suppressed temperatures without pushing them into the single digits. Official verification from agencies like Environment and Climate Change Canada will determine final resolution, with traders weighting real-time station readings over longer-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,333End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers positioned 14°C as the dominant outcome.** Environment Canada forecasts and observational data from Toronto Pearson International Airport indicated a minimum near 14°C (about 57°F) on August 24, 2026, aligning with model consensus that limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and light precipitation. This matches the market's 74.5% implied probability for 14°C, while lower values (13°C or below) received minimal support due to the absence of clear, dry conditions that historically enable sharper drops. Late-August climatology shows an average low of 17.1°C, but recent frontal activity and above-normal precipitation suppressed temperatures without pushing them into the single digits. Official verification from agencies like Environment and Climate Change Canada will determine final resolution, with traders weighting real-time station readings over longer-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,333End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler-than-average overnight conditions driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers positioned 14°C as the dominant outcome.** Environment Canada forecasts and observational data from Toronto Pearson International Airport indicated a minimum near 14°C (about 57°F) on August 24, 2026, aligning with model consensus that limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and light precipitation. This matches the market's 74.5% implied probability for 14°C, while lower values (13°C or below) received minimal support due to the absence of clear, dry conditions that historically enable sharper drops. Late-August climatology shows an average low of 17.1°C, but recent frontal activity and above-normal precipitation suppressed temperatures without pushing them into the single digits. Official verification from agencies like Environment and Climate Change Canada will determine final resolution, with traders weighting real-time station readings over longer-range uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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