Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 25, aligning with the 98.5% market-implied probability for that threshold. Persistent summer warmth driven by regional high-pressure patterns and typical August climatology—where overnight lows often stabilize near 24–26°C—supports this consensus, with no major cooling fronts or significant precipitation expected to alter the overnight minimum. Official observations from Incheon International Airport or equivalent stations will determine resolution based on the day's recorded low. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or an unforecast marine influence could push readings slightly lower, though model agreement makes deviations beyond 24°C unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
25°C 99%
23°C 1.3%
24°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
NEW
$11,247 Vol.
NEW
$11,247 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
23°C 1.3%
24°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
NEW
$11,247 Vol.
NEW
$11,247 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$952 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$743 Vol.
1%
23°C
$589 Vol.
1%
24°C
$574 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,113 Vol.
99%
26°C
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,137 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 25, aligning with the 98.5% market-implied probability for that threshold. Persistent summer warmth driven by regional high-pressure patterns and typical August climatology—where overnight lows often stabilize near 24–26°C—supports this consensus, with no major cooling fronts or significant precipitation expected to alter the overnight minimum. Official observations from Incheon International Airport or equivalent stations will determine resolution based on the day's recorded low. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or an unforecast marine influence could push readings slightly lower, though model agreement makes deviations beyond 24°C unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,247End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 25, aligning with the 98.5% market-implied probability for that threshold. Persistent summer warmth driven by regional high-pressure patterns and typical August climatology—where overnight lows often stabilize near 24–26°C—supports this consensus, with no major cooling fronts or significant precipitation expected to alter the overnight minimum. Official observations from Incheon International Airport or equivalent stations will determine resolution based on the day's recorded low. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or an unforecast marine influence could push readings slightly lower, though model agreement makes deviations beyond 24°C unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,247End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 25, aligning with the 98.5% market-implied probability for that threshold. Persistent summer warmth driven by regional high-pressure patterns and typical August climatology—where overnight lows often stabilize near 24–26°C—supports this consensus, with no major cooling fronts or significant precipitation expected to alter the overnight minimum. Official observations from Incheon International Airport or equivalent stations will determine resolution based on the day's recorded low. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or an unforecast marine influence could push readings slightly lower, though model agreement makes deviations beyond 24°C unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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