Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 26, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 20–24°C, but recent days have trended warmer with dew points supporting elevated nighttime temperatures and no incoming cold front or typhoon influence to accelerate cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes, consistent with ensemble consensus and the absence of model runs projecting sharper drops below 24°C. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 6%
27°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C
55%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 6%
27°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$79 Vol.
1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
3%
24°C
$202 Vol.
6%
25°C
$96 Vol.
34%
26°C
$1,974 Vol.
55%
27°C
$63 Vol.
6%
28°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
1%
30°C
$100 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 26, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 20–24°C, but recent days have trended warmer with dew points supporting elevated nighttime temperatures and no incoming cold front or typhoon influence to accelerate cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes, consistent with ensemble consensus and the absence of model runs projecting sharper drops below 24°C. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,147End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 26, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 20–24°C, but recent days have trended warmer with dew points supporting elevated nighttime temperatures and no incoming cold front or typhoon influence to accelerate cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes, consistent with ensemble consensus and the absence of model runs projecting sharper drops below 24°C. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,147End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate an overnight low near 25–26°C for Incheon on August 26, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Late-August climatology for the region shows typical minimums of 20–24°C, but recent days have trended warmer with dew points supporting elevated nighttime temperatures and no incoming cold front or typhoon influence to accelerate cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes, consistent with ensemble consensus and the absence of model runs projecting sharper drops below 24°C. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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