Recent model guidance from European forecasting centers highlights a northwesterly flow advecting cooler Alpine air into the Po Valley, anchoring trader consensus on a Milan maximum of 27°C or 28°C for August 25. These closely matched probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty between partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating and any residual Mediterranean moisture or subsidence that could briefly push readings higher. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 27–29°C, providing context for why outcomes outside this narrow band carry low implied odds. Official verification tomorrow from Milan-Linate or regional ARPA stations will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 48%
28°C 39%
26°C 9%
29°C 6%
NEW
$13,549 Vol.
NEW
$13,549 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
48%
28°C
39%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 48%
28°C 39%
26°C 9%
29°C 6%
NEW
$13,549 Vol.
NEW
$13,549 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$599 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,763 Vol.
9%
27°C
$4,942 Vol.
48%
28°C
$1,236 Vol.
39%
29°C
$1,659 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$2,006 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from European forecasting centers highlights a northwesterly flow advecting cooler Alpine air into the Po Valley, anchoring trader consensus on a Milan maximum of 27°C or 28°C for August 25. These closely matched probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty between partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating and any residual Mediterranean moisture or subsidence that could briefly push readings higher. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 27–29°C, providing context for why outcomes outside this narrow band carry low implied odds. Official verification tomorrow from Milan-Linate or regional ARPA stations will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$13,549End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from European forecasting centers highlights a northwesterly flow advecting cooler Alpine air into the Po Valley, anchoring trader consensus on a Milan maximum of 27°C or 28°C for August 25. These closely matched probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty between partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating and any residual Mediterranean moisture or subsidence that could briefly push readings higher. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 27–29°C, providing context for why outcomes outside this narrow band carry low implied odds. Official verification tomorrow from Milan-Linate or regional ARPA stations will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,549End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from European forecasting centers highlights a northwesterly flow advecting cooler Alpine air into the Po Valley, anchoring trader consensus on a Milan maximum of 27°C or 28°C for August 25. These closely matched probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty between partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating and any residual Mediterranean moisture or subsidence that could briefly push readings higher. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 27–29°C, providing context for why outcomes outside this narrow band carry low implied odds. Official verification tomorrow from Milan-Linate or regional ARPA stations will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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