Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s minimum temperature on August 25 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, aligning with late-summer Po Valley climatology where average overnight lows hover around 18–19°C. Recent observational data from stations such as Milano Linate show persistent warmth with highs in the upper 20s, supporting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without strong synoptic forcing or significant moisture advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 16–20°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer processes and urban heat retention. Resolution hinges on the precise recorded minimum, with next model cycles and official Italian meteorological updates likely to narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 25?
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
14°C or below
$342 Vol.
1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
1%
16°C
$26 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s minimum temperature on August 25 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, aligning with late-summer Po Valley climatology where average overnight lows hover around 18–19°C. Recent observational data from stations such as Milano Linate show persistent warmth with highs in the upper 20s, supporting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without strong synoptic forcing or significant moisture advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 16–20°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer processes and urban heat retention. Resolution hinges on the precise recorded minimum, with next model cycles and official Italian meteorological updates likely to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,477End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s minimum temperature on August 25 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, aligning with late-summer Po Valley climatology where average overnight lows hover around 18–19°C. Recent observational data from stations such as Milano Linate show persistent warmth with highs in the upper 20s, supporting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without strong synoptic forcing or significant moisture advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 16–20°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer processes and urban heat retention. Resolution hinges on the precise recorded minimum, with next model cycles and official Italian meteorological updates likely to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,477End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s minimum temperature on August 25 near 17–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, aligning with late-summer Po Valley climatology where average overnight lows hover around 18–19°C. Recent observational data from stations such as Milano Linate show persistent warmth with highs in the upper 20s, supporting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without strong synoptic forcing or significant moisture advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 16–20°C outcomes due to typical model spread in boundary-layer processes and urban heat retention. Resolution hinges on the precise recorded minimum, with next model cycles and official Italian meteorological updates likely to narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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