Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European guidance indicate minimum temperatures in Milan on August 26 will likely fall between 20–22°C overnight, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with partly cloudy skies and light variable winds that limit strong radiative cooling. Recent days featured scattered thunderstorms that increased boundary-layer moisture, moderating overnight drops compared to drier analogs. This keeps the tightest market clustering around 17–20°C while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop or upward shifts from urban heat retention and model spread in low-level temperature advection. Resolution depends on official station readings at standard 2-meter height.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 50%
22°C 48%
15°C 45%
19°C 27%
14°C or below
50%
15°C
45%
16°C
25%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
25%
22°C
48%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
1%
14°C or below 50%
22°C 48%
15°C 45%
19°C 27%
14°C or below
50%
15°C
45%
16°C
25%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
25%
22°C
48%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional European guidance indicate minimum temperatures in Milan on August 26 will likely fall between 20–22°C overnight, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with partly cloudy skies and light variable winds that limit strong radiative cooling. Recent days featured scattered thunderstorms that increased boundary-layer moisture, moderating overnight drops compared to drier analogs. This keeps the tightest market clustering around 17–20°C while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop or upward shifts from urban heat retention and model spread in low-level temperature advection. Resolution depends on official station readings at standard 2-meter height.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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