Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate an overnight low near 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with August climatology. Trader positioning favoring 21–23°C reflects uncertainty in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and radiative cooling rates that can produce 1–3°C of additional overnight drop along the Mediterranean coast. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud could tip the minimum below the consensus range. Updated short-range guidance and local station observations tonight will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
20°C 40%
23°C 36%
22°C 35%
21°C 32%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
40%
21°C
32%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
31%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 40%
23°C 36%
22°C 35%
21°C 32%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
40%
21°C
32%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
31%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate an overnight low near 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with August climatology. Trader positioning favoring 21–23°C reflects uncertainty in sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and radiative cooling rates that can produce 1–3°C of additional overnight drop along the Mediterranean coast. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud could tip the minimum below the consensus range. Updated short-range guidance and local station observations tonight will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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