Current forecasts from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate typical August conditions for Tel Aviv, with daytime highs near 31–32°C under clear skies and overnight radiative cooling yielding a minimum around 24°C. This aligns with climatological baselines of 23–25°C for coastal lows during peak summer, driven by Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes and low humidity limiting further drops. Trader consensus at 82.5% for exactly 24°C reflects stable model agreement and absence of anomalous synoptic patterns, such as stronger northerly flows or heat domes, that could shift the minimum below 23°C or above 25°C. Updated guidance through the evening will confirm resolution against official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
24°C 99%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$3,444 Vol.
$3,444 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$3,444 Vol.
$3,444 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate typical August conditions for Tel Aviv, with daytime highs near 31–32°C under clear skies and overnight radiative cooling yielding a minimum around 24°C. This aligns with climatological baselines of 23–25°C for coastal lows during peak summer, driven by Mediterranean sea breezes moderating extremes and low humidity limiting further drops. Trader consensus at 82.5% for exactly 24°C reflects stable model agreement and absence of anomalous synoptic patterns, such as stronger northerly flows or heat domes, that could shift the minimum below 23°C or above 25°C. Updated guidance through the evening will confirm resolution against official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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