**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26 likely in the 24–26°C range, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate northwest sea breezes and high humidity maintaining overnight warmth.** Historical August lows average around 23–25°C, with recent days showing similar stability under clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. The market's emphasis on outcomes near 24–25°C aligns with model consensus from sources like WindBorne and Yr.no, while the elevated probability on 20°C or below reflects uncertainty in precise overnight minima or potential model cooling biases. No major weather shifts are expected before resolution, with official Israeli Meteorological Service data and updated runs serving as key upcoming inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
20°C or below 91%
25°C 26%
24°C 26%
22°C 24%
20°C or below
91%
21°C
8%
22°C
24%
23°C
22%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 91%
25°C 26%
24°C 26%
22°C 24%
20°C or below
91%
21°C
8%
22°C
24%
23°C
22%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26 likely in the 24–26°C range, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate northwest sea breezes and high humidity maintaining overnight warmth.** Historical August lows average around 23–25°C, with recent days showing similar stability under clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. The market's emphasis on outcomes near 24–25°C aligns with model consensus from sources like WindBorne and Yr.no, while the elevated probability on 20°C or below reflects uncertainty in precise overnight minima or potential model cooling biases. No major weather shifts are expected before resolution, with official Israeli Meteorological Service data and updated runs serving as key upcoming inputs for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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