Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 26 will likely reach 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 5–8 mph, and moderate humidity around 50–60%, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring sea-breeze moderation. Historical baselines for the date average near 30°C highs, with rare exceedances above 35°C absent strong heat domes or Saharan air intrusions. Current model consensus across multiple sources shows limited spread and no significant revisions in the past 24 hours, supporting trader positioning around 33°C as the mode while assigning secondary probability to 34°C amid minor uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Official observations from local stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 59%
34°C 33%
32°C 8%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
59%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 33%
32°C 8%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
59%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 26 will likely reach 31–34°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 5–8 mph, and moderate humidity around 50–60%, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring sea-breeze moderation. Historical baselines for the date average near 30°C highs, with rare exceedances above 35°C absent strong heat domes or Saharan air intrusions. Current model consensus across multiple sources shows limited spread and no significant revisions in the past 24 hours, supporting trader positioning around 33°C as the mode while assigning secondary probability to 34°C amid minor uncertainty in afternoon maxima. Official observations from local stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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