Recent persistent heat across the Houston area, with official NWS observations showing daily maxima of 99–101°F in the days leading into August 24, 2026, anchored trader consensus on the 98–99°F bin. NOAA forecast discussions and model guidance projected a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and high humidity, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where upper-90s readings are typical absent strong sea-breeze or cloud interference. The near-certain market pricing reflects aggregated real-money assessment of these verified trends and station data. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in afternoon convection or a sharper-than-expected coastal breeze dropping the official maximum below 98°F at the primary reporting site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$23,540 Vol.
$23,540 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$23,540 Vol.
$23,540 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$488 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,357 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$5,423 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$5,316 Vol.
100%
100-101°F
$5,149 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$314 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$165 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$497 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$649 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent persistent heat across the Houston area, with official NWS observations showing daily maxima of 99–101°F in the days leading into August 24, 2026, anchored trader consensus on the 98–99°F bin. NOAA forecast discussions and model guidance projected a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and high humidity, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where upper-90s readings are typical absent strong sea-breeze or cloud interference. The near-certain market pricing reflects aggregated real-money assessment of these verified trends and station data. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in afternoon convection or a sharper-than-expected coastal breeze dropping the official maximum below 98°F at the primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$23,540End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent persistent heat across the Houston area, with official NWS observations showing daily maxima of 99–101°F in the days leading into August 24, 2026, anchored trader consensus on the 98–99°F bin. NOAA forecast discussions and model guidance projected a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and high humidity, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where upper-90s readings are typical absent strong sea-breeze or cloud interference. The near-certain market pricing reflects aggregated real-money assessment of these verified trends and station data. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in afternoon convection or a sharper-than-expected coastal breeze dropping the official maximum below 98°F at the primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,540End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent persistent heat across the Houston area, with official NWS observations showing daily maxima of 99–101°F in the days leading into August 24, 2026, anchored trader consensus on the 98–99°F bin. NOAA forecast discussions and model guidance projected a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny conditions with light winds and high humidity, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where upper-90s readings are typical absent strong sea-breeze or cloud interference. The near-certain market pricing reflects aggregated real-money assessment of these verified trends and station data. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in afternoon convection or a sharper-than-expected coastal breeze dropping the official maximum below 98°F at the primary reporting site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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