Persistent heat across Southeast Texas, with a National Weather Service heat advisory active through August 25 evening, positions upper-90s readings as the most probable outcome for Houston's daily high. Recent model consensus and local observations point to highs of 98–100°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 95°F but recent days have touched 100–102°F. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave a degree or two, keeping 96–99°F brackets dominant in trader pricing while limiting upside risk above 101°F. Official airport observations will determine resolution once the calendar day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$679 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$239 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$334 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$1,038 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$928 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$325 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$251 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$281 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$327 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across Southeast Texas, with a National Weather Service heat advisory active through August 25 evening, positions upper-90s readings as the most probable outcome for Houston's daily high. Recent model consensus and local observations point to highs of 98–100°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 95°F but recent days have touched 100–102°F. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave a degree or two, keeping 96–99°F brackets dominant in trader pricing while limiting upside risk above 101°F. Official airport observations will determine resolution once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,939End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across Southeast Texas, with a National Weather Service heat advisory active through August 25 evening, positions upper-90s readings as the most probable outcome for Houston's daily high. Recent model consensus and local observations point to highs of 98–100°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 95°F but recent days have touched 100–102°F. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave a degree or two, keeping 96–99°F brackets dominant in trader pricing while limiting upside risk above 101°F. Official airport observations will determine resolution once the calendar day closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,939End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across Southeast Texas, with a National Weather Service heat advisory active through August 25 evening, positions upper-90s readings as the most probable outcome for Houston's daily high. Recent model consensus and local observations point to highs of 98–100°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and high humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 95°F but recent days have touched 100–102°F. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave a degree or two, keeping 96–99°F brackets dominant in trader pricing while limiting upside risk above 101°F. Official airport observations will determine resolution once the calendar day closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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