Official National Weather Service observations for August 24, 2026, recorded overnight minima of 77°F at Houston Hobby Airport and 79°F at George Bush Intercontinental, aligning directly with the market's dominant 78-79°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. These readings reflect typical late-summer Gulf Coast conditions, where high dew points near 73°F and light southerly winds limited radiational cooling below seasonal normals of 76°F. Trader positioning incorporates this verified station data, with resolution criteria tied to official minimums rather than forecasts or models. Only a major revision in preliminary climatological reports or use of an alternate station could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
78-79°F 99%
69°F or below 16%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 2%
$2,443 Vol.
$2,443 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
16%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99%
69°F or below 16%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 2%
$2,443 Vol.
$2,443 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$10 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$353 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$249 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$86 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$25 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$256 Vol.
99%
80-81°F
$341 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$317 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for August 24, 2026, recorded overnight minima of 77°F at Houston Hobby Airport and 79°F at George Bush Intercontinental, aligning directly with the market's dominant 78-79°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. These readings reflect typical late-summer Gulf Coast conditions, where high dew points near 73°F and light southerly winds limited radiational cooling below seasonal normals of 76°F. Trader positioning incorporates this verified station data, with resolution criteria tied to official minimums rather than forecasts or models. Only a major revision in preliminary climatological reports or use of an alternate station could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,443End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for August 24, 2026, recorded overnight minima of 77°F at Houston Hobby Airport and 79°F at George Bush Intercontinental, aligning directly with the market's dominant 78-79°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. These readings reflect typical late-summer Gulf Coast conditions, where high dew points near 73°F and light southerly winds limited radiational cooling below seasonal normals of 76°F. Trader positioning incorporates this verified station data, with resolution criteria tied to official minimums rather than forecasts or models. Only a major revision in preliminary climatological reports or use of an alternate station could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,443End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations for August 24, 2026, recorded overnight minima of 77°F at Houston Hobby Airport and 79°F at George Bush Intercontinental, aligning directly with the market's dominant 78-79°F outcome at 98.5% implied probability. These readings reflect typical late-summer Gulf Coast conditions, where high dew points near 73°F and light southerly winds limited radiational cooling below seasonal normals of 76°F. Trader positioning incorporates this verified station data, with resolution criteria tied to official minimums rather than forecasts or models. Only a major revision in preliminary climatological reports or use of an alternate station could realistically alter the outcome before final settlement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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