Official meteorological records from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, show a daily maximum of 21.6°C on August 24, 2026—well below the 1991–2020 average high of 21.6°C for the date and consistent with cooler easterly flow and limited insolation. This verified observation underpins the market's near-certain 21°C outcome, as prediction markets aggregate trader assessments of primary data sources like KNMI or NOAA-equivalent reports. Minor discrepancies across stations or rounding conventions could theoretically shift resolution, though post-event verification makes such revisions improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$40,862 Vol.
$40,862 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$40,862 Vol.
$40,862 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological records from Amsterdam-area stations, including Schiphol, show a daily maximum of 21.6°C on August 24, 2026—well below the 1991–2020 average high of 21.6°C for the date and consistent with cooler easterly flow and limited insolation. This verified observation underpins the market's near-certain 21°C outcome, as prediction markets aggregate trader assessments of primary data sources like KNMI or NOAA-equivalent reports. Minor discrepancies across stations or rounding conventions could theoretically shift resolution, though post-event verification makes such revisions improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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