Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam Schiphol station recorded a minimum temperature of 9.3°C on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the 10°C outcome that captured 99% market-implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer cooling patterns under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow, consistent with climatological averages around 12–13°C but tempered by recent regional high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and radiative cooling. Traders' strong consensus draws from verified station data and model-verified trends, rather than forecasts alone. Resolution could shift only under rare discrepancies in measurement protocols, alternative station readings, or official rounding adjustments exceeding standard tolerances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
10°C 99%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$3,415 Vol.
$3,415 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 99%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$3,415 Vol.
$3,415 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$195 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$222 Vol.
99%
11°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam Schiphol station recorded a minimum temperature of 9.3°C on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the 10°C outcome that captured 99% market-implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer cooling patterns under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow, consistent with climatological averages around 12–13°C but tempered by recent regional high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and radiative cooling. Traders' strong consensus draws from verified station data and model-verified trends, rather than forecasts alone. Resolution could shift only under rare discrepancies in measurement protocols, alternative station readings, or official rounding adjustments exceeding standard tolerances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,415End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam Schiphol station recorded a minimum temperature of 9.3°C on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the 10°C outcome that captured 99% market-implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer cooling patterns under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow, consistent with climatological averages around 12–13°C but tempered by recent regional high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and radiative cooling. Traders' strong consensus draws from verified station data and model-verified trends, rather than forecasts alone. Resolution could shift only under rare discrepancies in measurement protocols, alternative station readings, or official rounding adjustments exceeding standard tolerances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,415End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Amsterdam Schiphol station recorded a minimum temperature of 9.3°C on August 24, 2026, aligning closely with the 10°C outcome that captured 99% market-implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer cooling patterns under clear, calm conditions with light easterly flow, consistent with climatological averages around 12–13°C but tempered by recent regional high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and radiative cooling. Traders' strong consensus draws from verified station data and model-verified trends, rather than forecasts alone. Resolution could shift only under rare discrepancies in measurement protocols, alternative station readings, or official rounding adjustments exceeding standard tolerances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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