Forecasts for Amsterdam on August 26 point to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds of 8–11 mph and dew points near 12–13°C, supporting overnight lows in the 15–17°C range as the primary drivers of market-implied odds. These factors limit radiative cooling compared to clearer, calmer nights, while the urban heat island effect in the city center further moderates minimum readings. Recent model consensus shows stable mild air advection ahead of a shift toward showers and thunderstorms later in the week, keeping probabilities concentrated on 14–17°C outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 12–13°C underscore the current warmer pattern, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to the measurement window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 24%
14°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
14%
13°C
8%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
24%
18°C
9%
19°C
8%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 24%
14°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$145 Vol.
14%
13°C
$90 Vol.
8%
14°C
$9 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$80 Vol.
8%
20°C
$135 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Amsterdam on August 26 point to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds of 8–11 mph and dew points near 12–13°C, supporting overnight lows in the 15–17°C range as the primary drivers of market-implied odds. These factors limit radiative cooling compared to clearer, calmer nights, while the urban heat island effect in the city center further moderates minimum readings. Recent model consensus shows stable mild air advection ahead of a shift toward showers and thunderstorms later in the week, keeping probabilities concentrated on 14–17°C outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 12–13°C underscore the current warmer pattern, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to the measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$464End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Amsterdam on August 26 point to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds of 8–11 mph and dew points near 12–13°C, supporting overnight lows in the 15–17°C range as the primary drivers of market-implied odds. These factors limit radiative cooling compared to clearer, calmer nights, while the urban heat island effect in the city center further moderates minimum readings. Recent model consensus shows stable mild air advection ahead of a shift toward showers and thunderstorms later in the week, keeping probabilities concentrated on 14–17°C outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 12–13°C underscore the current warmer pattern, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to the measurement window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$464End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Amsterdam on August 26 point to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds of 8–11 mph and dew points near 12–13°C, supporting overnight lows in the 15–17°C range as the primary drivers of market-implied odds. These factors limit radiative cooling compared to clearer, calmer nights, while the urban heat island effect in the city center further moderates minimum readings. Recent model consensus shows stable mild air advection ahead of a shift toward showers and thunderstorms later in the week, keeping probabilities concentrated on 14–17°C outcomes. Historical late-August averages near 12–13°C underscore the current warmer pattern, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance showing little change in the 24–48 hours prior to the measurement window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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