Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Henan province. Ensemble models show daytime highs of 32–34°C with overnight lows held above seasonal baselines by high dew points and light easterly winds, producing strong market-implied odds for 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of significant cooling ahead of resolution, as no incoming cold fronts or unusual synoptic shifts appear in short-range guidance. A realistic challenge would require a sharp, unforecasted temperature drop—such as from rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or model error—though historical August minima and current stability make such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 20%
23°C <1%
16°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
99%
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 20%
23°C <1%
16°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$155 Vol.
20%
25°C or higher
$339 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Henan province. Ensemble models show daytime highs of 32–34°C with overnight lows held above seasonal baselines by high dew points and light easterly winds, producing strong market-implied odds for 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of significant cooling ahead of resolution, as no incoming cold fronts or unusual synoptic shifts appear in short-range guidance. A realistic challenge would require a sharp, unforecasted temperature drop—such as from rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or model error—though historical August minima and current stability make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,202End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Henan province. Ensemble models show daytime highs of 32–34°C with overnight lows held above seasonal baselines by high dew points and light easterly winds, producing strong market-implied odds for 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of significant cooling ahead of resolution, as no incoming cold fronts or unusual synoptic shifts appear in short-range guidance. A realistic challenge would require a sharp, unforecasted temperature drop—such as from rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or model error—though historical August minima and current stability make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,202End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25 near 25–26°C, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air masses typical of late-summer conditions in Henan province. Ensemble models show daytime highs of 32–34°C with overnight lows held above seasonal baselines by high dew points and light easterly winds, producing strong market-implied odds for 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects the low likelihood of significant cooling ahead of resolution, as no incoming cold fronts or unusual synoptic shifts appear in short-range guidance. A realistic challenge would require a sharp, unforecasted temperature drop—such as from rapid radiative cooling under clear skies or model error—though historical August minima and current stability make such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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