Current numerical weather models and real-time observations from stations like Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport confirm daytime highs will reach or exceed 32°C on August 24 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August highs of 32–33°C in the region, supported by ongoing heat and humidity despite scattered showers. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus on these factors. A realistic challenge would require substantially increased cloud cover or heavy rainfall suppressing peak temperatures, though latest forecasts indicate limited potential for such moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 99.9%
$3,210 Vol.
$3,210 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.9%
$3,210 Vol.
$3,210 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
32°C or higher
$326 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and real-time observations from stations like Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport confirm daytime highs will reach or exceed 32°C on August 24 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August highs of 32–33°C in the region, supported by ongoing heat and humidity despite scattered showers. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus on these factors. A realistic challenge would require substantially increased cloud cover or heavy rainfall suppressing peak temperatures, though latest forecasts indicate limited potential for such moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,210End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models and real-time observations from stations like Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport confirm daytime highs will reach or exceed 32°C on August 24 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August highs of 32–33°C in the region, supported by ongoing heat and humidity despite scattered showers. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus on these factors. A realistic challenge would require substantially increased cloud cover or heavy rainfall suppressing peak temperatures, though latest forecasts indicate limited potential for such moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,210End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models and real-time observations from stations like Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport confirm daytime highs will reach or exceed 32°C on August 24 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions. This aligns with climatological baselines showing average August highs of 32–33°C in the region, supported by ongoing heat and humidity despite scattered showers. The 99.9% market-implied probability reflects strong model consensus on these factors. A realistic challenge would require substantially increased cloud cover or heavy rainfall suppressing peak temperatures, though latest forecasts indicate limited potential for such moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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