Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly warm advection. High dew points near 26°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks locally but leave little room for the mercury to stay below 32°C. This consensus aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the North China Plain under comparable steering patterns. Market-implied odds near 97% for 32°C or higher reflect the tight clustering of model solutions and ongoing surface readings; only an unanticipated rapid frontal passage or unusually heavy, widespread rain could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 97%
31°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
NEW
$11,134 Vol.
NEW
$11,134 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
97%
32°C or higher 97%
31°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
NEW
$11,134 Vol.
NEW
$11,134 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,189 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,285 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21 Vol.
1%
30°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$395 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$244 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly warm advection. High dew points near 26°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks locally but leave little room for the mercury to stay below 32°C. This consensus aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the North China Plain under comparable steering patterns. Market-implied odds near 97% for 32°C or higher reflect the tight clustering of model solutions and ongoing surface readings; only an unanticipated rapid frontal passage or unusually heavy, widespread rain could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$11,134End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly warm advection. High dew points near 26°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks locally but leave little room for the mercury to stay below 32°C. This consensus aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the North China Plain under comparable steering patterns. Market-implied odds near 97% for 32°C or higher reflect the tight clustering of model solutions and ongoing surface readings; only an unanticipated rapid frontal passage or unusually heavy, widespread rain could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,134End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, sustained by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly warm advection. High dew points near 26°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks locally but leave little room for the mercury to stay below 32°C. This consensus aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the North China Plain under comparable steering patterns. Market-implied odds near 97% for 32°C or higher reflect the tight clustering of model solutions and ongoing surface readings; only an unanticipated rapid frontal passage or unusually heavy, widespread rain could realistically prevent the threshold from being reached.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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