Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
25°C or higher 99.5%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or higher
100%
25°C or higher 99.5%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or higher
$1,036 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,493End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,493End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from Zhengzhou on August 24 confirm a daily minimum well above the 25 °C threshold, consistent with typical late-summer conditions under a strong subtropical high-pressure system that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Regional surface analyses show daytime highs near 35 °C and limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise allow greater radiative heat loss overnight. With the market-implied probability exceeding 90 %, traders are aligning with verified station data rather than model uncertainty. Only an undocumented station relocation, instrument calibration error, or highly localized microclimate anomaly could alter the recorded minimum, outcomes that remain statistically rare given standardized World Meteorological Organization protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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