Recent National Environment Agency (NEA) outlooks for the second half of August 2026 project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days amid below-average rainfall and occasional thundery showers, aligning closely with the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 33°C peak on August 25. Singapore’s equatorial climate typically produces August highs near the long-term average of 32°C, but an active El Niño episode has elevated the seasonal baseline, supporting trader consensus around this range. Short-term model guidance, including BBC forecasts of 33°C, reinforces this outcome while allowing limited room for 32°C or 34°C variability depending on cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized convection. Official monitoring via NEA’s automated stations will determine the precise daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
33°C 71%
32°C 16%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
NEW
$25,701 Vol.
NEW
$25,701 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
16%
33°C
71%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 16%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
NEW
$25,701 Vol.
NEW
$25,701 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$590 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,394 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,444 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,811 Vol.
16%
33°C
$5,777 Vol.
71%
34°C
$7,830 Vol.
9%
35°C
$1,666 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,495 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$269 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency (NEA) outlooks for the second half of August 2026 project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days amid below-average rainfall and occasional thundery showers, aligning closely with the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 33°C peak on August 25. Singapore’s equatorial climate typically produces August highs near the long-term average of 32°C, but an active El Niño episode has elevated the seasonal baseline, supporting trader consensus around this range. Short-term model guidance, including BBC forecasts of 33°C, reinforces this outcome while allowing limited room for 32°C or 34°C variability depending on cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized convection. Official monitoring via NEA’s automated stations will determine the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$25,701End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency (NEA) outlooks for the second half of August 2026 project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days amid below-average rainfall and occasional thundery showers, aligning closely with the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 33°C peak on August 25. Singapore’s equatorial climate typically produces August highs near the long-term average of 32°C, but an active El Niño episode has elevated the seasonal baseline, supporting trader consensus around this range. Short-term model guidance, including BBC forecasts of 33°C, reinforces this outcome while allowing limited room for 32°C or 34°C variability depending on cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized convection. Official monitoring via NEA’s automated stations will determine the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,701End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Environment Agency (NEA) outlooks for the second half of August 2026 project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C on most days amid below-average rainfall and occasional thundery showers, aligning closely with the 70.5% market-implied probability for a 33°C peak on August 25. Singapore’s equatorial climate typically produces August highs near the long-term average of 32°C, but an active El Niño episode has elevated the seasonal baseline, supporting trader consensus around this range. Short-term model guidance, including BBC forecasts of 33°C, reinforces this outcome while allowing limited room for 32°C or 34°C variability depending on cloud cover, wind patterns, and localized convection. Official monitoring via NEA’s automated stations will determine the precise daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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