Singapore's National Environment Agency reported a daily maximum of 33°C on August 24, aligning with trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects the island's equatorial tropical rainforest climate, where solar insolation and high humidity produce consistent daytime peaks of 31–34°C with minimal seasonal variation. In the second half of August 2026, official observations showed maxima exceeding 33°C on nearly all days, driven by typical monsoon trough positioning and limited cloud cover. Model runs and climatological baselines support this range, with only rare convective outbreaks or stronger winds capable of suppressing temperatures enough to shift the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
33°C 99.9%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$49,480 Vol.
$49,480 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
33°C
100%
33°C 99.9%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$49,480 Vol.
$49,480 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
33°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency reported a daily maximum of 33°C on August 24, aligning with trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects the island's equatorial tropical rainforest climate, where solar insolation and high humidity produce consistent daytime peaks of 31–34°C with minimal seasonal variation. In the second half of August 2026, official observations showed maxima exceeding 33°C on nearly all days, driven by typical monsoon trough positioning and limited cloud cover. Model runs and climatological baselines support this range, with only rare convective outbreaks or stronger winds capable of suppressing temperatures enough to shift the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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