**Trader sentiment for Singapore's August 26 highest temperature centers on 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting consistent model consensus for a day with scattered thundery showers under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** These showers, typical in late August, increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating, moderating daytime maxima relative to clearer periods earlier in the month when readings reached 34°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like the Singapore Meteorological Service, Met Office, and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 30–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), with 31°C frequently cited alongside 60–70% rain probability. Humidity near 70–75% and light southeasterly winds further limit extreme heat, while afternoon convection often peaks after the daily maximum is recorded. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a climatological anchor. The market's slight edge to 32°C (44%) over 31°C (28.5%) likely incorporates minor model spread and recent above-average warmth, but the narrow 1–2°C window underscores the low likelihood of outliers above 33°C or below 30°C given stable steering patterns and expected precipitation timing. New observational data or updated model runs the morning of August 26 will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
32°C 44%
31°C 29%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 29%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$284 Vol.
1%
29°C
$208 Vol.
2%
30°C
$601 Vol.
8%
31°C
$2,494 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,063 Vol.
44%
33°C
$959 Vol.
14%
34°C
$241 Vol.
3%
35°C
$13 Vol.
1%
36°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Singapore's August 26 highest temperature centers on 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting consistent model consensus for a day with scattered thundery showers under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** These showers, typical in late August, increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating, moderating daytime maxima relative to clearer periods earlier in the month when readings reached 34°C.
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like the Singapore Meteorological Service, Met Office, and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 30–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), with 31°C frequently cited alongside 60–70% rain probability. Humidity near 70–75% and light southeasterly winds further limit extreme heat, while afternoon convection often peaks after the daily maximum is recorded. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a climatological anchor.
The market's slight edge to 32°C (44%) over 31°C (28.5%) likely incorporates minor model spread and recent above-average warmth, but the narrow 1–2°C window underscores the low likelihood of outliers above 33°C or below 30°C given stable steering patterns and expected precipitation timing. New observational data or updated model runs the morning of August 26 will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,012End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Singapore's August 26 highest temperature centers on 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting consistent model consensus for a day with scattered thundery showers under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** These showers, typical in late August, increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating, moderating daytime maxima relative to clearer periods earlier in the month when readings reached 34°C.
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like the Singapore Meteorological Service, Met Office, and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 30–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), with 31°C frequently cited alongside 60–70% rain probability. Humidity near 70–75% and light southeasterly winds further limit extreme heat, while afternoon convection often peaks after the daily maximum is recorded. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a climatological anchor.
The market's slight edge to 32°C (44%) over 31°C (28.5%) likely incorporates minor model spread and recent above-average warmth, but the narrow 1–2°C window underscores the low likelihood of outliers above 33°C or below 30°C given stable steering patterns and expected precipitation timing. New observational data or updated model runs the morning of August 26 will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,012End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Singapore's August 26 highest temperature centers on 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting consistent model consensus for a day with scattered thundery showers under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** These showers, typical in late August, increase cloud cover and reduce peak solar heating, moderating daytime maxima relative to clearer periods earlier in the month when readings reached 34°C. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources like the Singapore Meteorological Service, Met Office, and Weather Atlas converge on highs of 30–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), with 31°C frequently cited alongside 60–70% rain probability. Humidity near 70–75% and light southeasterly winds further limit extreme heat, while afternoon convection often peaks after the daily maximum is recorded. Historical August averages hover near 31–32°C, providing a climatological anchor. The market's slight edge to 32°C (44%) over 31°C (28.5%) likely incorporates minor model spread and recent above-average warmth, but the narrow 1–2°C window underscores the low likelihood of outliers above 33°C or below 30°C given stable steering patterns and expected precipitation timing. New observational data or updated model runs the morning of August 26 will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions