The dominant 100% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Singapore on August 24 reflect the official overnight reading from Meteorological Service Singapore stations, consistent with the ongoing warm spell driven by high humidity and the southwest monsoon regime that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Equatorial conditions typically produce minimums near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with recent NEA outlooks noting many nights staying above 27°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective showers or a brief shift in steering flow to enhance cooling below the observed threshold, though model consensus and station data showed no such signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,405 Vol.
$4,405 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,405 Vol.
$4,405 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$609 Vol.
No
22°C
$115 Vol.
No
23°C
$158 Vol.
No
24°C
$434 Vol.
No
25°C
$254 Vol.
No
26°C
$162 Vol.
No
27°C
$255 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,347 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$492 Vol.
No
30°C
$460 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$120 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Singapore on August 24 reflect the official overnight reading from Meteorological Service Singapore stations, consistent with the ongoing warm spell driven by high humidity and the southwest monsoon regime that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Equatorial conditions typically produce minimums near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with recent NEA outlooks noting many nights staying above 27°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective showers or a brief shift in steering flow to enhance cooling below the observed threshold, though model consensus and station data showed no such signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,405End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Singapore on August 24 reflect the official overnight reading from Meteorological Service Singapore stations, consistent with the ongoing warm spell driven by high humidity and the southwest monsoon regime that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Equatorial conditions typically produce minimums near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with recent NEA outlooks noting many nights staying above 27°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective showers or a brief shift in steering flow to enhance cooling below the observed threshold, though model consensus and station data showed no such signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,405End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The dominant 100% market-implied odds on a 28°C minimum for Singapore on August 24 reflect the official overnight reading from Meteorological Service Singapore stations, consistent with the ongoing warm spell driven by high humidity and the southwest monsoon regime that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Equatorial conditions typically produce minimums near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with recent NEA outlooks noting many nights staying above 27°C. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective showers or a brief shift in steering flow to enhance cooling below the observed threshold, though model consensus and station data showed no such signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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