Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 26 will likely hover near 25°C amid typical late-summer continental conditions, with daytime highs near 34°C, elevated humidity, and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August averages of 22–25°C lows and supports the leading market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. No significant cold air advection or anomalous weather systems appear in current guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies could shift probabilities for thresholds like 21–24°C. The elevated odds for much cooler outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in model consensus this far ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
21°C 49%
25°C or higher 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
15°C or below
46%
16°C
30%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
31%
20°C
30%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
30%
25°C or higher
47%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
21°C 49%
25°C or higher 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
30%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C or higher
$2 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 26 will likely hover near 25°C amid typical late-summer continental conditions, with daytime highs near 34°C, elevated humidity, and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August averages of 22–25°C lows and supports the leading market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. No significant cold air advection or anomalous weather systems appear in current guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies could shift probabilities for thresholds like 21–24°C. The elevated odds for much cooler outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in model consensus this far ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 26 will likely hover near 25°C amid typical late-summer continental conditions, with daytime highs near 34°C, elevated humidity, and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August averages of 22–25°C lows and supports the leading market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. No significant cold air advection or anomalous weather systems appear in current guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies could shift probabilities for thresholds like 21–24°C. The elevated odds for much cooler outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in model consensus this far ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou's overnight low on August 26 will likely hover near 25°C amid typical late-summer continental conditions, with daytime highs near 34°C, elevated humidity, and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with historical August averages of 22–25°C lows and supports the leading market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. No significant cold air advection or anomalous weather systems appear in current guidance, though minor forecast revisions from agencies could shift probabilities for thresholds like 21–24°C. The elevated odds for much cooler outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in model consensus this far ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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