Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and multiple models indicate a daytime high of 37–39°C across much of the municipality on August 25, with central districts peaking near 38°C under mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered showers or thunderstorms tied to peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan. This pattern follows several consecutive days of 37–40°C readings in southern and western districts, sustaining elevated surface temperatures despite modest cooling from cloud cover and localized rainfall. Trader consensus on 38°C as the leading outcome aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 39°C or higher reflect limited intensification potential before the system shifts. Updated model runs and final observational data will determine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
38°C 46%
37°C 29%
39°C 16%
36°C 9%
NEW
$18,732 Vol.
NEW
$18,732 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
29%
38°C
46%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
2%
38°C 46%
37°C 29%
39°C 16%
36°C 9%
NEW
$18,732 Vol.
NEW
$18,732 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$833 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,455 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,916 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,925 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,241 Vol.
9%
37°C
$2,186 Vol.
29%
38°C
$2,042 Vol.
46%
39°C
$3,141 Vol.
16%
40°C or higher
$617 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and multiple models indicate a daytime high of 37–39°C across much of the municipality on August 25, with central districts peaking near 38°C under mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered showers or thunderstorms tied to peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan. This pattern follows several consecutive days of 37–40°C readings in southern and western districts, sustaining elevated surface temperatures despite modest cooling from cloud cover and localized rainfall. Trader consensus on 38°C as the leading outcome aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 39°C or higher reflect limited intensification potential before the system shifts. Updated model runs and final observational data will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,732End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and multiple models indicate a daytime high of 37–39°C across much of the municipality on August 25, with central districts peaking near 38°C under mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered showers or thunderstorms tied to peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan. This pattern follows several consecutive days of 37–40°C readings in southern and western districts, sustaining elevated surface temperatures despite modest cooling from cloud cover and localized rainfall. Trader consensus on 38°C as the leading outcome aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 39°C or higher reflect limited intensification potential before the system shifts. Updated model runs and final observational data will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,732End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and multiple models indicate a daytime high of 37–39°C across much of the municipality on August 25, with central districts peaking near 38°C under mostly cloudy to clear conditions and scattered showers or thunderstorms tied to peripheral flow from Typhoon Zitan. This pattern follows several consecutive days of 37–40°C readings in southern and western districts, sustaining elevated surface temperatures despite modest cooling from cloud cover and localized rainfall. Trader consensus on 38°C as the leading outcome aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and typical resolution criteria based on official station maxima, while lower probabilities for 39°C or higher reflect limited intensification potential before the system shifts. Updated model runs and final observational data will determine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions