Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate minimal overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing due to persistent high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover on August 24–25, supporting a daily minimum near 29°C. This aligns with recent observations of elevated nighttime temperatures (26–28°C range) amid the ongoing heatwave, where daytime highs have exceeded 37°C. The market's dominant 93% implied probability on 29°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and historical analogs for late-August patterns in the region. Uncertainties remain from potential localized thunderstorms or model revisions in steering flows, which could introduce additional cloud cover or slight advection of cooler air to drop the minimum by 2–3°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
29°C 60%
23°C 47%
27°C 34%
28°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
47%
24°C
21%
25°C
33%
26°C
-
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
60%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 60%
23°C 47%
27°C 34%
28°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$80 Vol.
1%
22°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$171 Vol.
47%
24°C
$91 Vol.
21%
25°C
$56 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
-
27°C
$5 Vol.
34%
28°C
$5 Vol.
34%
29°C
$87 Vol.
60%
30°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate minimal overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing due to persistent high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover on August 24–25, supporting a daily minimum near 29°C. This aligns with recent observations of elevated nighttime temperatures (26–28°C range) amid the ongoing heatwave, where daytime highs have exceeded 37°C. The market's dominant 93% implied probability on 29°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and historical analogs for late-August patterns in the region. Uncertainties remain from potential localized thunderstorms or model revisions in steering flows, which could introduce additional cloud cover or slight advection of cooler air to drop the minimum by 2–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,477End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate minimal overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing due to persistent high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover on August 24–25, supporting a daily minimum near 29°C. This aligns with recent observations of elevated nighttime temperatures (26–28°C range) amid the ongoing heatwave, where daytime highs have exceeded 37°C. The market's dominant 93% implied probability on 29°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and historical analogs for late-August patterns in the region. Uncertainties remain from potential localized thunderstorms or model revisions in steering flows, which could introduce additional cloud cover or slight advection of cooler air to drop the minimum by 2–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,477End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate minimal overnight radiative cooling in Chongqing due to persistent high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover on August 24–25, supporting a daily minimum near 29°C. This aligns with recent observations of elevated nighttime temperatures (26–28°C range) amid the ongoing heatwave, where daytime highs have exceeded 37°C. The market's dominant 93% implied probability on 29°C reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions and historical analogs for late-August patterns in the region. Uncertainties remain from potential localized thunderstorms or model revisions in steering flows, which could introduce additional cloud cover or slight advection of cooler air to drop the minimum by 2–3°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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