The market consensus at 27°C (99%) aligns with official observational records from Chongqing weather stations, which logged a minimum of 27°C overnight into August 24 amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds under 8 km/h, and high humidity near 85–90%. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the urban heat island effect limited radiative cooling despite the post-sunset drop from daytime highs near 38°C. Recent model runs and local meteorological briefings showed no significant cold-air advection or widespread precipitation to drive lower readings. A realistic challenge would require an uncharacteristic station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision outside the normal range of 26–28°C, though current verified measurements make this highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
27°C 99.0%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
$3,872 Vol.
$3,872 Vol.
26°C
2%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
27°C 99.0%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
$3,872 Vol.
$3,872 Vol.
26°C
2%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus at 27°C (99%) aligns with official observational records from Chongqing weather stations, which logged a minimum of 27°C overnight into August 24 amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds under 8 km/h, and high humidity near 85–90%. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the urban heat island effect limited radiative cooling despite the post-sunset drop from daytime highs near 38°C. Recent model runs and local meteorological briefings showed no significant cold-air advection or widespread precipitation to drive lower readings. A realistic challenge would require an uncharacteristic station-specific anomaly or post-event data revision outside the normal range of 26–28°C, though current verified measurements make this highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions