Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C in Chongqing on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 27–29°C. High humidity typical of late-summer subtropical regimes reduces nighttime radiative cooling, while the city’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain further moderate minimum temperatures. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized precipitation could tip the exact low between 27°C and 29°C, with historical August averages showing similar nighttime values of 24–28°C. Updated model runs and official observations on the 26th will refine these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
32°C or higher 49%
28°C 32%
29°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
20%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
32%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
49%
32°C or higher 49%
28°C 32%
29°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
3%
23°C
$15 Vol.
8%
24°C
$15 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$70 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$145 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C in Chongqing on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 27–29°C. High humidity typical of late-summer subtropical regimes reduces nighttime radiative cooling, while the city’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain further moderate minimum temperatures. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized precipitation could tip the exact low between 27°C and 29°C, with historical August averages showing similar nighttime values of 24–28°C. Updated model runs and official observations on the 26th will refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$390End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C in Chongqing on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 27–29°C. High humidity typical of late-summer subtropical regimes reduces nighttime radiative cooling, while the city’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain further moderate minimum temperatures. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized precipitation could tip the exact low between 27°C and 29°C, with historical August averages showing similar nighttime values of 24–28°C. Updated model runs and official observations on the 26th will refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$390End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C in Chongqing on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 27–29°C. High humidity typical of late-summer subtropical regimes reduces nighttime radiative cooling, while the city’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain further moderate minimum temperatures. Minor forecast shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or localized precipitation could tip the exact low between 27°C and 29°C, with historical August averages showing similar nighttime values of 24–28°C. Updated model runs and official observations on the 26th will refine these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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