Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's August 27 high will likely fall between 17–20 °C as a Scandinavian anticyclone drives northerly flow and cool air advection across the region. Variable cloud cover, light winds of 2–7 m/s, and dew points near 7–10 °C are expected to limit daytime heating while keeping skies partly cloudy and precipitation-free. These conditions align with model consensus showing temperatures 1–3 °C below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.6 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 34.5 % and 30.5 % odds on 18 °C and 19 °C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range ensemble spreads this far ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
19°C 32%
18°C 31%
17°C 14%
20°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
14%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
3%
19°C 32%
18°C 31%
17°C 14%
20°C 14%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
14%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's August 27 high will likely fall between 17–20 °C as a Scandinavian anticyclone drives northerly flow and cool air advection across the region. Variable cloud cover, light winds of 2–7 m/s, and dew points near 7–10 °C are expected to limit daytime heating while keeping skies partly cloudy and precipitation-free. These conditions align with model consensus showing temperatures 1–3 °C below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.6 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 34.5 % and 30.5 % odds on 18 °C and 19 °C captures the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range ensemble spreads this far ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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