National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 point to morning low clouds and fog transitioning to partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph moderating coastal temperatures. This marine influence caps the official Los Angeles reading, most likely at LAX, near 83°F—aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability. Inland areas may reach the mid-90s amid the broader Southern California heat wave, but coastal sea breezes and the typical August marine layer keep the highest temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with any late forecast adjustments likely tied to the exact timing of fog clearance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 6%
NEW
$15,789 Vol.
NEW
$15,789 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 6%
NEW
$15,789 Vol.
NEW
$15,789 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$559 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$4,770 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$3,771 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$2,515 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$2,512 Vol.
24%
86-87°F
$530 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$146 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$146 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$146 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$289 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$403 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 point to morning low clouds and fog transitioning to partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph moderating coastal temperatures. This marine influence caps the official Los Angeles reading, most likely at LAX, near 83°F—aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability. Inland areas may reach the mid-90s amid the broader Southern California heat wave, but coastal sea breezes and the typical August marine layer keep the highest temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with any late forecast adjustments likely tied to the exact timing of fog clearance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$15,789End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 point to morning low clouds and fog transitioning to partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph moderating coastal temperatures. This marine influence caps the official Los Angeles reading, most likely at LAX, near 83°F—aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability. Inland areas may reach the mid-90s amid the broader Southern California heat wave, but coastal sea breezes and the typical August marine layer keep the highest temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with any late forecast adjustments likely tied to the exact timing of fog clearance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,789End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for August 25 point to morning low clouds and fog transitioning to partly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph moderating coastal temperatures. This marine influence caps the official Los Angeles reading, most likely at LAX, near 83°F—aligning with the market's leading 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability. Inland areas may reach the mid-90s amid the broader Southern California heat wave, but coastal sea breezes and the typical August marine layer keep the highest temperature tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with any late forecast adjustments likely tied to the exact timing of fog clearance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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