Trader sentiment for the August 27 Guangzhou high clusters around 32–33°C, reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy to thundery conditions with highs near the August climatological average of 32–34°C. Recent forecasts from regional sources indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by typical late-summer monsoon moisture and weak steering flows, which limit diurnal heating and cap peaks below 34°C in most runs. Key variables include afternoon convective timing, cloud cover extent, and any localized urban heat effects in the Pearl River Delta; stronger or earlier rainfall would favor 31°C or lower outcomes, while clearer breaks could push readings toward 34°C. Short-range model spread remains notable given the two-day horizon and active tropical moisture patterns, sustaining the broad probability distribution across 30–34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 27 Guangzhou high clusters around 32–33°C, reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy to thundery conditions with highs near the August climatological average of 32–34°C. Recent forecasts from regional sources indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by typical late-summer monsoon moisture and weak steering flows, which limit diurnal heating and cap peaks below 34°C in most runs. Key variables include afternoon convective timing, cloud cover extent, and any localized urban heat effects in the Pearl River Delta; stronger or earlier rainfall would favor 31°C or lower outcomes, while clearer breaks could push readings toward 34°C. Short-range model spread remains notable given the two-day horizon and active tropical moisture patterns, sustaining the broad probability distribution across 30–34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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