Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Shanghai of 31–32°C on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity around 60–75% and scattered cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. Regional models show easterly flow and possible sea-breeze effects moderating extremes, consistent with historical August averages near 31°C and no active heatwave or strong high-pressure system intensifying readings. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to 31°C or 32°C while discounting 33°C or higher due to limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final observed high from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
31°C 55%
32°C 38%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NEW
$22,856 Vol.
NEW
$22,856 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
55%
32°C
38%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 55%
32°C 38%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
NEW
$22,856 Vol.
NEW
$22,856 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,259 Vol.
1%
30°C
$4,705 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5,617 Vol.
55%
32°C
$3,643 Vol.
38%
33°C
$2,317 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Shanghai of 31–32°C on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity around 60–75% and scattered cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. Regional models show easterly flow and possible sea-breeze effects moderating extremes, consistent with historical August averages near 31°C and no active heatwave or strong high-pressure system intensifying readings. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to 31°C or 32°C while discounting 33°C or higher due to limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final observed high from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,856End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Shanghai of 31–32°C on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity around 60–75% and scattered cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. Regional models show easterly flow and possible sea-breeze effects moderating extremes, consistent with historical August averages near 31°C and no active heatwave or strong high-pressure system intensifying readings. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to 31°C or 32°C while discounting 33°C or higher due to limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final observed high from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,856End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Shanghai of 31–32°C on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity around 60–75% and scattered cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. Regional models show easterly flow and possible sea-breeze effects moderating extremes, consistent with historical August averages near 31°C and no active heatwave or strong high-pressure system intensifying readings. Trader consensus aligns closely with these outputs, assigning over 90% combined implied probability to 31°C or 32°C while discounting 33°C or higher due to limited intensification potential ahead of the resolution window. Updated model runs overnight will refine the final observed high from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions