Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show Milan highs on August 27 centering on 30–31°C under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming from late-summer solar insolation while limiting extreme heat through partial cloud cover and subsidence. Consensus across sources places the most probable peak near 30–31°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes; slight upward revisions in some runs support the modest probability on 32°C, though model spread keeps higher values low. Traders appear to price in this stable late-August Po Valley pattern without major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 27?
30°C 39%
29°C 30%
31°C 27%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
25%
30°C
39%
31°C
27%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 39%
29°C 30%
31°C 27%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$298 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$35 Vol.
25%
30°C
$1,660 Vol.
39%
31°C
$5 Vol.
27%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C
$50 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show Milan highs on August 27 centering on 30–31°C under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming from late-summer solar insolation while limiting extreme heat through partial cloud cover and subsidence. Consensus across sources places the most probable peak near 30–31°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes; slight upward revisions in some runs support the modest probability on 32°C, though model spread keeps higher values low. Traders appear to price in this stable late-August Po Valley pattern without major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,836End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show Milan highs on August 27 centering on 30–31°C under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming from late-summer solar insolation while limiting extreme heat through partial cloud cover and subsidence. Consensus across sources places the most probable peak near 30–31°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes; slight upward revisions in some runs support the modest probability on 32°C, though model spread keeps higher values low. Traders appear to price in this stable late-August Po Valley pattern without major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,836End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF, GFS, and regional outputs show Milan highs on August 27 centering on 30–31°C under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime warming from late-summer solar insolation while limiting extreme heat through partial cloud cover and subsidence. Consensus across sources places the most probable peak near 30–31°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes; slight upward revisions in some runs support the modest probability on 32°C, though model spread keeps higher values low. Traders appear to price in this stable late-August Po Valley pattern without major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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