Forecast models for Qingdao on August 27 indicate daytime highs clustered near 29–31°C, consistent with climatological late-August norms for this Yellow Sea coastal city where marine influence and sea breezes typically cap extremes. Recent days have seen maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble guidance showing modest spread from variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and possible late-day showers that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the narrow 30–33°C band reflects this inherent short-range uncertainty in numerical weather prediction, where small shifts in wind direction or convective timing differentiate outcomes, while historical analogs and current observational trends support limited risk of reaching 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
32°C 25%
33°C 25%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
25%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
16%
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
32°C 25%
33°C 25%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
25%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Qingdao on August 27 indicate daytime highs clustered near 29–31°C, consistent with climatological late-August norms for this Yellow Sea coastal city where marine influence and sea breezes typically cap extremes. Recent days have seen maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble guidance showing modest spread from variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and possible late-day showers that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the narrow 30–33°C band reflects this inherent short-range uncertainty in numerical weather prediction, where small shifts in wind direction or convective timing differentiate outcomes, while historical analogs and current observational trends support limited risk of reaching 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions