Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 31°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and typical late-August subtropical humidity that limits strong daytime heating. Current conditions show highs of 30–33°C amid frequent rain, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C and keeping the 31°C outcome at the front of trader consensus. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around 30–32°C thresholds, while the low odds for extremes reflect limited potential for clear-sky amplification or atypical steering patterns before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
33°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
17%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
33°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$15 Vol.
36%
32°C
$43 Vol.
19%
33°C
$20 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 31°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and typical late-August subtropical humidity that limits strong daytime heating. Current conditions show highs of 30–33°C amid frequent rain, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C and keeping the 31°C outcome at the front of trader consensus. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around 30–32°C thresholds, while the low odds for extremes reflect limited potential for clear-sky amplification or atypical steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$102End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 31°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and typical late-August subtropical humidity that limits strong daytime heating. Current conditions show highs of 30–33°C amid frequent rain, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C and keeping the 31°C outcome at the front of trader consensus. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around 30–32°C thresholds, while the low odds for extremes reflect limited potential for clear-sky amplification or atypical steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$102End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 31°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and typical late-August subtropical humidity that limits strong daytime heating. Current conditions show highs of 30–33°C amid frequent rain, aligning with historical August averages of 31–32°C and keeping the 31°C outcome at the front of trader consensus. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around 30–32°C thresholds, while the low odds for extremes reflect limited potential for clear-sky amplification or atypical steering patterns before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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