Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity are capping the diurnal range in Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 26–28°C according to current model consensus. Widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall on August 27 suppress radiative cooling, while light southerly winds and dew points near 26°C limit further drops. Traders assign nearly equal implied probability to 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated short-range runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
22°C or below 54%
27°C 30%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
54%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
29%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 54%
27°C 30%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$135 Vol.
54%
23°C
$145 Vol.
1%
24°C
$75 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$135 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity are capping the diurnal range in Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 26–28°C according to current model consensus. Widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall on August 27 suppress radiative cooling, while light southerly winds and dew points near 26°C limit further drops. Traders assign nearly equal implied probability to 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated short-range runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$500End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity are capping the diurnal range in Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 26–28°C according to current model consensus. Widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall on August 27 suppress radiative cooling, while light southerly winds and dew points near 26°C limit further drops. Traders assign nearly equal implied probability to 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated short-range runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$500End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity are capping the diurnal range in Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 26–28°C according to current model consensus. Widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall on August 27 suppress radiative cooling, while light southerly winds and dew points near 26°C limit further drops. Traders assign nearly equal implied probability to 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated short-range runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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