Recent forecasts from ECMWF and regional models show Warsaw under stable high pressure with light easterly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. Late-August solar angles and typical August climatology (average highs ~23 °C) limit further warming, while modest afternoon mixing and low humidity keep peaks from exceeding 26 °C. The tight 24 °C versus 25 °C market split reflects small ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and cloud timing; a slightly earlier clearing or stronger insolation could tip the daily maximum one degree higher, whereas any increased low-level moisture or delayed mixing would favor 24 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
24°C 41%
25°C 39%
23°C 11%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
41%
25°C
39%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 39%
23°C 11%
26°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
19°C or below
$134 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$273 Vol.
1%
21°C
$110 Vol.
1%
22°C
$16 Vol.
4%
23°C
$401 Vol.
11%
24°C
$540 Vol.
41%
25°C
$311 Vol.
39%
26°C
$125 Vol.
9%
27°C
$85 Vol.
3%
28°C
$367 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF and regional models show Warsaw under stable high pressure with light easterly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. Late-August solar angles and typical August climatology (average highs ~23 °C) limit further warming, while modest afternoon mixing and low humidity keep peaks from exceeding 26 °C. The tight 24 °C versus 25 °C market split reflects small ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and cloud timing; a slightly earlier clearing or stronger insolation could tip the daily maximum one degree higher, whereas any increased low-level moisture or delayed mixing would favor 24 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,597End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from ECMWF and regional models show Warsaw under stable high pressure with light easterly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. Late-August solar angles and typical August climatology (average highs ~23 °C) limit further warming, while modest afternoon mixing and low humidity keep peaks from exceeding 26 °C. The tight 24 °C versus 25 °C market split reflects small ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and cloud timing; a slightly earlier clearing or stronger insolation could tip the daily maximum one degree higher, whereas any increased low-level moisture or delayed mixing would favor 24 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,597End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF and regional models show Warsaw under stable high pressure with light easterly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 24–25 °C. Late-August solar angles and typical August climatology (average highs ~23 °C) limit further warming, while modest afternoon mixing and low humidity keep peaks from exceeding 26 °C. The tight 24 °C versus 25 °C market split reflects small ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and cloud timing; a slightly earlier clearing or stronger insolation could tip the daily maximum one degree higher, whereas any increased low-level moisture or delayed mixing would favor 24 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through the 26th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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