Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly winds, and predominantly sunny intervals that limit afternoon heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatological averages near 23°C while reflecting a slight cooling trend observed in recent model runs. Trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 29% reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized urban heat effects. Official updates from sources tracking daily maxima will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
22°C 50%
23°C 30%
21°C 20%
24°C 2%
NEW
$11,056 Vol.
NEW
$11,056 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
20%
22°C
50%
23°C
30%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 30%
21°C 20%
24°C 2%
NEW
$11,056 Vol.
NEW
$11,056 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$341 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$492 Vol.
1%
20°C
$621 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,202 Vol.
20%
22°C
$2,550 Vol.
50%
23°C
$2,560 Vol.
30%
24°C
$891 Vol.
2%
25°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$570 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$178 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly winds, and predominantly sunny intervals that limit afternoon heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatological averages near 23°C while reflecting a slight cooling trend observed in recent model runs. Trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 29% reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized urban heat effects. Official updates from sources tracking daily maxima will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,056End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly winds, and predominantly sunny intervals that limit afternoon heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatological averages near 23°C while reflecting a slight cooling trend observed in recent model runs. Trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 29% reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized urban heat effects. Official updates from sources tracking daily maxima will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,056End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in Warsaw on August 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northerly winds, and predominantly sunny intervals that limit afternoon heating. This aligns closely with late-August climatological averages near 23°C while reflecting a slight cooling trend observed in recent model runs. Trader consensus heavily favors the 22°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 29% reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any localized urban heat effects. Official updates from sources tracking daily maxima will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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