Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 24, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on that exact outcome. Persistent fog and a stable high-pressure system suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal August averages of 22–24°C. European model consensus and local IMGW data aligned on these cool conditions through the day, with no significant warming trends or measurement discrepancies emerging. Traders weighted verified station readings heavily, as the market resolves strictly on official maximum temperature reports. Rare scenarios like post-hoc data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
18°C 99.9%
$32,124 Vol.
$32,124 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
18°C
100%
18°C 99.9%
$32,124 Vol.
$32,124 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
18°C
$9,174 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 24, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on that exact outcome. Persistent fog and a stable high-pressure system suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal August averages of 22–24°C. European model consensus and local IMGW data aligned on these cool conditions through the day, with no significant warming trends or measurement discrepancies emerging. Traders weighted verified station readings heavily, as the market resolves strictly on official maximum temperature reports. Rare scenarios like post-hoc data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,124End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 24, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on that exact outcome. Persistent fog and a stable high-pressure system suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal August averages of 22–24°C. European model consensus and local IMGW data aligned on these cool conditions through the day, with no significant warming trends or measurement discrepancies emerging. Traders weighted verified station readings heavily, as the market resolves strictly on official maximum temperature reports. Rare scenarios like post-hoc data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,124End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 24, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on that exact outcome. Persistent fog and a stable high-pressure system suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal August averages of 22–24°C. European model consensus and local IMGW data aligned on these cool conditions through the day, with no significant warming trends or measurement discrepancies emerging. Traders weighted verified station readings heavily, as the market resolves strictly on official maximum temperature reports. Rare scenarios like post-hoc data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter resolution, though current evidence indicates strong consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions