Forecast models from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Warsaw on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 10–12°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 12–13°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or advection. Small differences in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and exact timing of any clearing differentiate the tightly clustered 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Official observations from Polish meteorological agencies will resolve the market based on the day's recorded low, with no major synoptic shifts expected in the final 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
8°C 15%
6°C or below 4%
7°C 4%
10°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
28%
9°C
28%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
8°C 15%
6°C or below 4%
7°C 4%
10°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
$141 Vol.
4%
7°C
$273 Vol.
4%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$21 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
1%
12°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Warsaw on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 10–12°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 12–13°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or advection. Small differences in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and exact timing of any clearing differentiate the tightly clustered 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Official observations from Polish meteorological agencies will resolve the market based on the day's recorded low, with no major synoptic shifts expected in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,656End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Warsaw on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 10–12°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 12–13°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or advection. Small differences in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and exact timing of any clearing differentiate the tightly clustered 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Official observations from Polish meteorological agencies will resolve the market based on the day's recorded low, with no major synoptic shifts expected in the final 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,656End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like BBC Weather and TimeandDate indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds over Warsaw on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 10–12°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 12–13°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or advection. Small differences in predicted wind speeds, humidity, and exact timing of any clearing differentiate the tightly clustered 10°C, 11°C, and 12°C outcomes in trader sentiment. Official observations from Polish meteorological agencies will resolve the market based on the day's recorded low, with no major synoptic shifts expected in the final 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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