**Forecast models and current observations have converged on an overnight minimum of 11°C in Warsaw on August 24, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS runs and guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), indicate clear skies and light winds overnight that allow radiational cooling to reach this threshold after daytime highs near 19–21°C. Hourly projections from multiple sources show temperatures bottoming out around 11°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising after sunrise. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in central Poland under high-pressure influence following earlier unsettled weather. The outcome could shift only if official station measurements (typically reported to the nearest whole degree) record a value altered by localized effects or timing discrepancies, though model agreement and real-time data make such deviations unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
$2,459 Vol.
$2,459 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
10°C
3%
11°C
100%
$2,459 Vol.
$2,459 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
10°C
$67 Vol.
3%
11°C
$256 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations have converged on an overnight minimum of 11°C in Warsaw on August 24, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.**
Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS runs and guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), indicate clear skies and light winds overnight that allow radiational cooling to reach this threshold after daytime highs near 19–21°C. Hourly projections from multiple sources show temperatures bottoming out around 11°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising after sunrise. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in central Poland under high-pressure influence following earlier unsettled weather. The outcome could shift only if official station measurements (typically reported to the nearest whole degree) record a value altered by localized effects or timing discrepancies, though model agreement and real-time data make such deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,459End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations have converged on an overnight minimum of 11°C in Warsaw on August 24, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.**
Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS runs and guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), indicate clear skies and light winds overnight that allow radiational cooling to reach this threshold after daytime highs near 19–21°C. Hourly projections from multiple sources show temperatures bottoming out around 11°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising after sunrise. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in central Poland under high-pressure influence following earlier unsettled weather. The outcome could shift only if official station measurements (typically reported to the nearest whole degree) record a value altered by localized effects or timing discrepancies, though model agreement and real-time data make such deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,459End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current observations have converged on an overnight minimum of 11°C in Warsaw on August 24, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including GFS runs and guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW), indicate clear skies and light winds overnight that allow radiational cooling to reach this threshold after daytime highs near 19–21°C. Hourly projections from multiple sources show temperatures bottoming out around 11°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising after sunrise. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in central Poland under high-pressure influence following earlier unsettled weather. The outcome could shift only if official station measurements (typically reported to the nearest whole degree) record a value altered by localized effects or timing discrepancies, though model agreement and real-time data make such deviations unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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