Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 27 will likely settle near 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. This setup favors strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Current runs show minimums around 12°C, consistent with trader consensus clustering on 11–13°C outcomes amid low implied odds for extremes below 10°C or above 15°C. Historical August baselines average near 15°C, but the stable anticyclonic pattern and recent cooler air advection differentiate the near-term outlook. Forecasters will monitor final model updates and observational trends through the 26th for any shifts in wind or moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?
16°C 43%
7°C or below 33%
11°C 29%
12°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
7°C or below
33%
8°C
1%
9°C
21%
10°C
22%
11°C
29%
12°C
29%
13°C
24%
14°C
17%
15°C
21%
16°C
43%
17°C or higher
2%
16°C 43%
7°C or below 33%
11°C 29%
12°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
7°C or below
$135 Vol.
33%
8°C
$200 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$5 Vol.
43%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 27 will likely settle near 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. This setup favors strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Current runs show minimums around 12°C, consistent with trader consensus clustering on 11–13°C outcomes amid low implied odds for extremes below 10°C or above 15°C. Historical August baselines average near 15°C, but the stable anticyclonic pattern and recent cooler air advection differentiate the near-term outlook. Forecasters will monitor final model updates and observational trends through the 26th for any shifts in wind or moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$345End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 27 will likely settle near 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. This setup favors strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Current runs show minimums around 12°C, consistent with trader consensus clustering on 11–13°C outcomes amid low implied odds for extremes below 10°C or above 15°C. Historical August baselines average near 15°C, but the stable anticyclonic pattern and recent cooler air advection differentiate the near-term outlook. Forecasters will monitor final model updates and observational trends through the 26th for any shifts in wind or moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$345End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on August 27 will likely settle near 11–13°C under clear skies and light easterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. This setup favors strong radiative cooling after sunset, with minimal cloud cover and low humidity allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently. Current runs show minimums around 12°C, consistent with trader consensus clustering on 11–13°C outcomes amid low implied odds for extremes below 10°C or above 15°C. Historical August baselines average near 15°C, but the stable anticyclonic pattern and recent cooler air advection differentiate the near-term outlook. Forecasters will monitor final model updates and observational trends through the 26th for any shifts in wind or moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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