Current forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and AccuWeather for Wellington on August 26, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 14–15°C under northwesterly flows and partly cloudy skies, positioning 15–16°C as the market leaders. Seasonal climatology places the long-term August average high around 12°C, but recent model runs reflect a shift to milder conditions following earlier polar air intrusions, with high-pressure ridging supporting modest warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable for the Wellington region through late August. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observation site, where small forecast adjustments from updated runs could still influence the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 31%
17°C 11%
18°C 2%
$21,904 Vol.
$21,904 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
31%
16°C
61%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 31%
17°C 11%
18°C 2%
$21,904 Vol.
$21,904 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
31%
16°C
61%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and AccuWeather for Wellington on August 26, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 14–15°C under northwesterly flows and partly cloudy skies, positioning 15–16°C as the market leaders. Seasonal climatology places the long-term August average high around 12°C, but recent model runs reflect a shift to milder conditions following earlier polar air intrusions, with high-pressure ridging supporting modest warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-average temperatures as most probable for the Wellington region through late August. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observation site, where small forecast adjustments from updated runs could still influence the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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