Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Moscow on August 27 likely falling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, supporting the market's close contest between the 9 °C and 6 °C-or-below outcomes. Clear nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could limit the drop and favor the higher end of the range. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of ensemble model spread and typical late-August variability around the 11.4 °C climatological average, with resolution depending on official overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
6°C or below 86%
7°C 48%
9°C 47%
10°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
86%
7°C
48%
8°C
26%
9°C
47%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
6%
6°C or below 86%
7°C 48%
9°C 47%
10°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
$162 Vol.
86%
7°C
$85 Vol.
48%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
47%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$15 Vol.
1%
14°C
$32 Vol.
7%
15°C
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$24 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Moscow on August 27 likely falling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, supporting the market's close contest between the 9 °C and 6 °C-or-below outcomes. Clear nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could limit the drop and favor the higher end of the range. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of ensemble model spread and typical late-August variability around the 11.4 °C climatological average, with resolution depending on official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$323End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Moscow on August 27 likely falling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, supporting the market's close contest between the 9 °C and 6 °C-or-below outcomes. Clear nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could limit the drop and favor the higher end of the range. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of ensemble model spread and typical late-August variability around the 11.4 °C climatological average, with resolution depending on official overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$323End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Moscow on August 27 likely falling between 10–12 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, supporting the market's close contest between the 9 °C and 6 °C-or-below outcomes. Clear nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger winds could limit the drop and favor the higher end of the range. These probabilities reflect trader assessment of ensemble model spread and typical late-August variability around the 11.4 °C climatological average, with resolution depending on official overnight observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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