Recent model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF places Helsinki’s August 28 high near 19–20 °C, consistent with the month’s climatological average of 18.7 °C and typical Baltic Sea moderation that limits extremes. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and a low-probability shower (20–50 % chance) introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty in the afternoon peak, while the sea’s thermal inertia and declining solar angle keep values well below late-July maxima. With all listed thresholds priced near 50 %, traders are reflecting genuine forecast spread two days out rather than any dominant warm or cool signal, underscoring how small shifts in timing of clearing skies or onshore flow can move the daily maximum across several bins. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 28?
15°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
15°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
15°C or below
100%
16°C
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
100%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF places Helsinki’s August 28 high near 19–20 °C, consistent with the month’s climatological average of 18.7 °C and typical Baltic Sea moderation that limits extremes. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and a low-probability shower (20–50 % chance) introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty in the afternoon peak, while the sea’s thermal inertia and declining solar angle keep values well below late-July maxima. With all listed thresholds priced near 50 %, traders are reflecting genuine forecast spread two days out rather than any dominant warm or cool signal, underscoring how small shifts in timing of clearing skies or onshore flow can move the daily maximum across several bins. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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